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SUMMARY:Séminaire d'Economie:   Emmanuelle Augeraud-Veron
DESCRIPTION:Agenda > Tous les événements\nSéminaire d’économie de Bordeaux\n \nEmmanuelle Augeraud-Veron (GREThA)\n« PREVENTION AND MITIGATION OF EPIDEMICS:\nBIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION AND CONFINEMENT POLICIES »\nCo-auteurs : Giorgio Fabbri (GAEL) et Katheline Schubert (PSE)\n\n« The relation between biodiversity loss and frequency of zoonose pandemicrisk is well documented in the literature. In this article we present a model to integrate this phenomenon in the context of a general equilibrium dynamic economic set-up. The occurrence of pandemic episodes is modeled as Poissonian leaps in stochastic economic variables. The planner can intervene in two ways: first (prevention)\, by preserving a greater quantity of biodiversity\, and second (mitigation)\, through apartial blockage o f economic activity. The policy is evaluated using a social welfare function which takes into account risk aversion\, fluctuation aversion\, altruism towards future generations and discount of future utility.Biodiver sity conservation is shown to be more relevant for more « forward looking » societies  and societies with a high degree of altruism towards future generations. Societies accepting a large welfare loss to mitigate the pandemics are also  a more prevention\, not to have to incur the loss too often. After calibrating the model with COVID-19 pandemic data we compare the mitigation efforts predicted by the model with those of the recent literature and we study the optimal prevention-mitigation policy mix. » \n\n  \n>> en visio sur ZOOM : Si vous n’avez pas reçu le lien et les identifiants de la réunion (dans la newsletter de la semaine précédente)\, écrivez à communication.gretha@u-bordeaux.fr
URL:https://www.bse.u-bordeaux.fr/agenda/seminaire-deconomie-emmanuelle-augeraud-veron/
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