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DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20230221T120000
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CREATED:20230106T160646Z
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SUMMARY:Séminaire: Isabelle Chort et Berk Oktem (UPPA)
DESCRIPTION:Agenda > Tous les événements\n \nSéminaire d’économie de Bordeaux\n  \n \nIsabelle Chort et Berk Oktem \n(UPPA)\n  \nAgricultural Shocks\, Coping Policies and Deforestation: Evidence from the Coffee Leaf Rust Epidemic in Mexico \n\nDeforestation in the tropics is a critical issue that interacts with global environmental changes\, and the mediating role of negative agricultural shocks is ambiguous. We investigate the impact of the massive epidemic of coffee leaf rust (CLR) that affected Central America from 2012  on deforestation in Mexico. CLR is  a fungal disease that negatively affects coffee production. We exploit the gradual diffusion of the epidemic and estimate a difference-in-difference model. We find that deforestation increased by 32% in CLR-affected municipalities but find no increase in agricultural land. Effects are driven by  municipalities with low coffee yields\, characterizing shade coffee systems\, and states where rustic coffee systems were predominant. These results suggest that deforestation occurred within coffee cultivation areas and emphasize the concurrent role of the PROCAFE program\, launched in 2014\, that promoted the replacement of traditional coffee trees by CLR-resistant hybrids.We study the dynamic effects of CLR and exploit the delayed launch of PROCAFE  to try to disentangle the impact of the epidemic from that of the policy response. Our results emphasize the vulnerability of agroforestry systems to exogenous shocks and suggest that PROCAFE contributed to increasing deforestation and accelerating the transition of Mexican traditional coffee landscapes to monoculture. \n  \n  \norganisé par le programme 3 / BSE \n  \n>> pour assister au séminaire via Zoom\,  contacter julie.vissaguet@u-bordeaux.fr \n  \n 
URL:https://www.bse.u-bordeaux.fr/agenda/seminaire-isabelle-chort-et-berk-oktem-uppa/
LOCATION:BxSE\, salle de séminaire H2-116\, bât.H\, campus Pessac\, avenue Leon Duguit\, Pessac\, 33600
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