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Séminaire d’économie de Bordeaux

Jackie Wahba 

University of Southampton

« Expecting Brexit and UK Migration: Should I Go? »

co-authored with Valentina Di Iasio

Abstract:
This paper examines the impact of the 2016 UK referendum and expecting Brexit on migration flows and net migration in the UK. We employ a Difference-in-Differences strategy and compare EU migration to non-EU migration before and immediately after the UK referendum of June 2016. We also investigate the potential secondary effects of the referendum on non-EU migrants by using different methodologies and various robustness checks.  Our results show that after the referendum (i) migration inflows from the EU declined, (ii) emigration of EU migrants increased and (iii) net migration flows from EU countries to the UK fell. Our results are not driven by the potential spillover impacts on non-EU migrant workers. Overall, the findings show that migration in the UK declined after the Brexit referendum, even before any policy change.

Bio: Jackie Wahba is a Professor of Economics at the Department of Economics at the University of Southampton (UK). Jackie is interested in labour markets and in particular in international migration.
(personal website: https://sites.google.com/site/jackiewahba/)

>> Pour assister au séminaire via Zoom, contacter julie.vissaguet@u-bordeaux.fr