Omar JOYA

https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=ch6-kBAAAAAJ

• “Do (all) sectoral shocks lead to aggregate volatility? Empirics from a production network perspective.” Co-authored with Eric Rougier. European Economic Review. Vol. 13: 77-107. DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.01.004
• “How should resource-rich countries diversify? Estimating forward-linkage effects of mining on productivity growth.” Economics of Transition and Institutional Change. Vol. 27 (2): 457-473. DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12191
• “Growth and volatility in resource-rich countries: Does diversification help?” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics. Vol. 35: 38-55. DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2015.10.001

• Uncertainty shock and pessimism shifts: The case of Afghanistan’s security transition. Co-authored with Eric Rougier.
• Commodity price shocks and forward participation of commodity exporters in global value chains.

• « Afghanistan post-2021: The new political economy of growth. » PeaceRep: The Peace and Conflict Resolution Evidence Platform. University of Edinburgh. June 2023.
• « A theory of religious grievance: Understanding the conflict in Afghanistan. » The Politics and Religion Journal 17 (1): 161-179.
• « Understanding the Drivers of Poverty in Afghanistan. » Co-authored with Eric Rougier and Saurabh Shome. Biruni Institute. April 2022.
• « Cost of non-cooperation between South and Central Asia: Trade benefits, challenges, and opportunities. » Co-authored with Lutfi Rahimi and Sebnem Sehin. Biruni Institute. August 2021.
• “Effectiveness of Development Assistance in Afghanistan: Lessons from World Bank Experience.” Co-authored with Khalid Payenda. Biruni Institute. May 2021.
• “Afghanistan to 2030: Priorities for economic development under fragility.” Co-authored with Claudia Nassif and Tobias Haque. The World Bank. August 2018.
• “Urgency of Fiscal Stability” in Faruk Khan (editor) “Afghanistan: Systematic Country Diagnostic.” The World Bank. February 2016.
• “Afghanistan: Pathways to Inclusive Growth.” Co-authored with a group of authors led by Claudia Nassif. The World Bank. March 2014.
• “Afghanistan Development Update” series (between April 2013 and Nov 2017). Bi-annual reports released by The World Bank. Lead author.
• “Natural Resources: What Strategy for Afghanistan?” Policy Paper. Samuel Hall Consulting. January 2013. Also published by the Afghan Institute for Strategic Studies.

• “Macroeconomic effects of promoting domestic production in Afghanistan.” Paper produced for Ministry of Economy under The World Bank consultancy. May 2018.
• “Sustaining the working poor in Kabul informal settlements: An evaluation of Solidarités International’s vocational training programme.” with Nassim Majidi. Samuel Hall Consulting. November 2012.
• “MODAF: A small macroeconom(etr)ic model of the Afghan economy.” Monetary Policy Department. Central Bank of Afghanistan. June 2009.